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2024-12-13 04:46:19

It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.


In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.


According to Jun Ge's analysis at that time, there are only a few reasons why the national team lurks ahead of time:In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.First, compared with any other funds, the national team is more familiar with the macro-adjustment strategy of the top level, and enters the market accurately before the Politburo meeting, mostly knowing that there will be great benefits at the meeting. Therefore, entering the venue last Friday can avoid chasing after the meeting, which has a greater cost advantage!

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